четверг, 15 марта 2012 г.

Blackout hits much of Venezuela, gov't blames fire

CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) — A blackout hit a large swath of Venezuela on Thursday, darkening street lights, shutting down the Caracas subway and forcing President Hugo Chavez's government to resort to temporary rationing measures.

The power outage affected the capital of Caracas and 12 states stretching across the northern half of the country, Electricity Minister Ali Rodriguez said.

The state oil company said some activities were interrupted at its refineries, including units partially halted at the Jose heavy crude upgrading complex in eastern Venezuela. But it said operations were expected to be back to normal by early Friday.

A forest fire apparently caused the outage …

East Coast states brace for yet another scorcher

Heat and humidity draped the Northeast for yet another day Wednesday, pushing power companies to crank up power to cool the sticky masses and keeping the mercury hovering around 100 from Virginia to New Hampshire.

The crux of the deadly heat was situated over the Philadelphia area, where an excessive heat warning was put into effect until 8 p.m. The National Weather Service said high humidity levels could make it feel as hot as Tuesday, when temperatures topped 100.

Standing in line for breakfast at a food truck in downtown Philadelphia, retail store manager Adam Collina, 45, sounded resigned.

"It looks like this is something we're going to have …

HOME IS WHERE THE ART IS...

Operating an art museum in Pennsylvania is tough business. The nonprofits run on state funds, charitable gifts and selfinitiated fundraisers. Developing new, innovative ways to compete for income is a constant challenge.

"The toughest part is that it becomes very competitive," said Cindi. Morrison, executive director of the Lancaster Museum of Art. "We're (nonprofits) all hitting the same people each year."

Inflation is another roadblock. With gas prices more than $2.50 per gallon, people are not as willing to drive out of their way to visit the museum in downtown Lancaster, Morrison said.

The Lancaster Museum of Art holds about 10 fundraisers annually. The most …

среда, 14 марта 2012 г.

Clarke leads Australia to 253 in one-dayer against Sri Lanka

Michael Clarke top-scored with an unbeaten 77 as Australia scored 253-6 after winning the toss and choosing to bat in its limited-overs tri-series match against Sri Lanka.

Retiring wicketkeeper Adam Gilchrist hit 61 off 81 balls _ his 54th half-century _ including three fours and one six.

Matthew Hayden, returning from a hamstring injury, hit 42 to dominate an opening stand of 65 with Gilchrist before Hayden fell caught at mid-wicket in the 13th over.

Chaminda Vaas dismissed captain Ricky Ponting, who caught at slip for nine, as Australia's scoring rate slowed slightly, leaving the home side on 88-2 from 20 overs in overcast conditions.

Brazil toddler has 50 sewing needles inside body

A 2-year-old boy has as many as 50 metal sewing needles inside his body, apparently stuck there one by one, a doctor treating him said Wednesday. Brazilian media said the boy's ex-stepfather was detained.

Dr. Luiz Cesar Soltoski told The Associated Press that surgeons hope to remove most of the needles _ some as long as 2 inches (5 centimeters)_ but those in the lungs will have to wait until the child's breathing improves.

Some needles cannot be removed as they are too close to vital organs or even inside organs, Soltoski said.

The boy's mother, a maid, took him to a hospital in the small northeastern city of Ibotirama last Thursday, saying he …

Daughter up in air about dad's history

Dear Action Time: I've been trying to learn more about myfather's early years.

He was a chief mechanic on one of the first zeppelins. Arethere any archives on the airships or on the firms that made them?Maybe I can find people who knew him then.

RESEARCHER, Rosemont

Dear Researcher: Cheryl Ganz would like to help get this off theground. But she requires more information.

Ganz, editor of a publication called Zeppelin Collector, saidyour father could have worked on several zeppelins, including thefirst one built in this country or the first airship to come to theUnited States in 1924. It would help if you could tell her whetherhe worked for the …

Bank of England majority firm on keeping rate low

LONDON (AP) — The Bank of England's rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee saw no new votes for a rate hike at its April meeting despite concerns about inflation, according to minutes of the discussions released Wednesday.

Andrew Sentance, Spencer Dale and Martin Weale again voted for a rate increase but picked up no new support from the other six members.

Of the six who voted to keep rates unchanged, Adam Posen remained alone in seeking to restart the Bank's economic stimulus program through another 50 billion pounds ($80 billion) in asset purchases.

The Bank has kept the interest rate at 0.5 percent since March 2009, and the quantitative easing program has been on hold …

China to ban violent online games

China has banned Web sites from advertising or linking to games that glamorize violence, another step in China's censorship campaign aimed at ensuring social stability ahead of the 60th anniversary of communist rule on Oct. 1.

A notice posted on the Culture Ministry Web site on Monday said games that promote drug use, obscenities, gambling, or crimes such as rape, vandalism and theft are "against public morality and the nation's fine cultural traditions."

"Such online games promote the glorification of mafia life ... and are a serious threat to the moral standards of society causing vulnerable young people to be adversely affected," the notice said. The ban on the Web …

Task Force Findings Should Help Racing

I'm positive the powers that be are finally looking out for theBroken Down Horseplayers. That includes me.

Maybe we can thank Gov. Edgar. He named a task force headed byattorney James M. Kane, Illinois Racing Board chairman GaryStarkman, owners of all of the state's tracks, politicians and otherexecutives to decide our betting future.

Starkman said he supports the likely changes that will benefitalmost everybody.

I'm not taking any credit because Starkman and the trackexecutives already knew pretty much what we needed, certainly moresimulcasting as several other states are doing.

However, to make sure our governor knew the score, I handed …

'Fake bomb' prompts Norway airport evacuation

OSLO, Norway (AP) — A bag with fake explosives meant for a military drill caused authorities Tuesday to evacuate an airport in Norway's second-largest city, police said.

The Flesland airport in Bergen was closed for almost three hours after security found what looked like an explosive device when they scanned the bag in the check-in area, police spokesman Terje Hilland …

Pedroia, Beltre lead Red Sox past Royals

Red Sox left fielder Jacoby Ellsbury was helped off the field after colliding with third baseman Adrian Beltre in the ninth inning of Boston's 8-6 win Sunday over the Kansas City Royals.

Ellsbury and Beltre were chasing Mitch Maier's foul fly ball when they ran into reach other. Ellsbury remained on the grass for several minutes and isn't sure if he'll be able to play Monday at Minnesota.

Beltre had three hits and three RBIs. Dustin Pedroia got four hits, including a home run.

Jose Guillen homered twice and drove in four runs for the Royals.

White Sox 5, Twins 4

At Chicago, J.J. Hardy became the final out when he tried to …

Plaque, prayer keeping judge on defensive

MONTGOMERY, Ala. Judge Roy Moore displays a plaque of the TenCommandments in his courtroom and opens sessions with prayer.

The judge, a Baptist whose fight to keep religion in hiscourtroom has inspired a national rally, invites others to pray withhim - as long as they're not Muslims, Hindus or Buddhists.

"They do not acknowledge the God of the holy Bible on which thiscountry was founded," Moore said.Tens of thousands are expected to attend a rally at the AlabamaCapitol today to show their support for Moore, including nationalconservative leaders such as Ralph Reed of the Christian Coalitionand the Rev. Don Wildmon of the American Family Association.The judge has …

Canada's Delbosco, Serwa win WC skicross

The old man can still ski.

Coming off a three-week layoff, 36-year-old Daron Rahlves of the United States, on the cusp of his fourth Winter Olympics, won two of three heats on Sunday to make it to the World Cup skicross finals at Whiteface Mountain before faltering to a fourth behind winner Christopher Delbosco of Canada.

"I've had some excitement," Rahlves said. "Making the finals was all right, but being the fourth guy isn't so cool."

Canada's Kelsey Serwa won the women's race, holding off Fanny Smith of Switzerland and World Cup leader Ophelie David of France in the final, while Ashleigh McIvor of Canada was fourth.

In the men's final, Delbosco gained the lead at the start and never relinquished it, beating Andreas Matt of Austria and Canadian teammate David Duncan across the line as Rahlves faltered when the gate dropped and couldn't recover.

"There was so much loose snow out there on the outside line, I got hit by a ton of snow and lost my speed," said Rahlves, who was the highest-seeded skier in the final group and did not have lane choice. "I lost way too much ground at the top to have a chance to do any moves. It was like somebody threw a rug out."

That didn't happen in the semifinals over the undulating course on Whiteface's Lower Valley section. It is slightly over a half-mile long with a vertical drop of 500 feet and has a series of nine rollers up top and a banked right-left-right turn into another set of rollers, offering plenty of opportunities to pass.

Moments after Smith made an amazing move between David and Karin Huttary of Austria to win her semifinal, Rahlves used his aggressive style to his advantage to go from fourth to the lead, darting between World Cup leader Michael Schmid of Switzerland and Egor Korotkov of Russia, then quickly sailing past Delbosco for the triumph.

"They left the door open, so I took it," Rahlves said. "You've got to improvise really quick."

Still, it was another banner day for Canada heading into the Winter Games.

"It feels so good," Serwa said after her first career finals triumph. "Canada is killing it. We're the best team out there. It's awesome. I had a rough part at the beginning of the season, so this really gives me confidence going into the Games."

"It kind of knocks the pressure off," Delbosco said. "It's right where it needs to be. I've been there all year. I just haven't had everything come together. I'm finally putting the pieces together heading into Vancouver."

Duncan struggled to hold in his emotions after securing a berth on the Canadian team.

"Words can't describe it. This is something I've been trying to do since I was a kid," he said. "I always had dreams of it. Getting out of that semifinal, I was just all smiles. I almost even shed a tear on ride up. It's awesome, a dream come true."

French skiers Florent Astier and Robin Lenel were involved in a crash in their first heat and were taken off the hill on stretchers. Astier was evaluated at the venue and then airlifted to a Burlington, Vt. hospital for treatment. His injuries were not immediately available.

Errol Kerr of Jamaica was briefly knocked out when he crashed while leading his first heat and suffered an injured left shoulder. He was shaken but not deterred.

"That was extremely disappointing. I was in the lead," said Kerr, who qualified fifth. "It was pilot error, something I don't usually do, but I'll be back to fight another day."

The U.S. freestyle team will be announced Tuesday, and Rahlves and Casey Puckett, recovering from a shoulder separation, are expected to be picked in skicross while the women's team likely will be shut out.

It will mark another milestone for Rahlves, who made three Olympic teams in his Alpine skiing career but never came home with a medal. His best finish was seventh in super-G at Nagano in 1998.

While the other World Cup racers have gone from race to race the past month with the Winter Olympics looming, Rahlves has been training at home in Sugar Valley, Calif., for the upcoming X Games and hanging out with his 2-year-old twins.

Delbosco left Whiteface with his second win in three races and thinking about the Olympics. Rahlves left thinking about next week's Winter X-Games in Aspen, and he certainly leaves a message in his wake.

"Daron is a legitimate skier. He skied on World Cup way too long and had way too much success to not be a threat out there," Duncan said. "It's an advantage to us that he doesn't compete week in and week out."

вторник, 13 марта 2012 г.

Starting lineup for French GP

Starting grid for Sunday's French Formula One Grand Prix at the 4.411-kilometer (2.741-mile) Circuit de Nevers (with driver, nationality, team):

1. Kimi Raikkonen, Finland, Ferrari.

2. Felipe Massa, Brazil, Ferrari.

3. Fernando Alonso, Spain, Renault.

4. Jarno Trulli, Italy, Toyota.

5. Robert Kubica, Poland, BMW-Sauber.

6. Mark Webber, Australia, Red Bull.

7. David Coulthard, Britain, Red Bull.

8. Timo Glock, Germany, Toyota.

9. Nelson Piquet Jr., Brazil, Renault.

10. x-Heikki Kovalainen, Finland, McLaren-Mercedes.

11. Nick Heidfeld, Germany, BMW-Sauber.

12. Sebastian Vettel, Germany, Toro Rosso.

13. y-Lewis Hamilton, Britain, McLaren-Mercedes.

14. Sebastien Bourdais, France, Toro Rosso.

15. Kazuki Nakajima, Japan, Williams.

16. Jenson Button, Britain, Honda.

17. Rubens Barrichello, Brazil, Honda.

18. Giancarlo Fisichella, Italy, Force India.

19. Adrian Sutil, Germany, Force India.

20. y-Nico Rosberg, Germany, Williams.

___

x-denotes driver relegated 5 grid places for causing interference during qualifying.

y-denotes drivers relegated 10 grid places for causing crash in pit lane at Canadian GP.

Lawyers: Dubai police stumbled in Chechen slaying

Defense lawyers for two suspects in the 2009 slaying of a former Chechen warlord claimed Thursday that Dubai police have failed to present enough firm evidence to back up their charges.

The attorneys also suggested that investigators bungled the probe into the March 2009 killing of Sulim Yamadayev by not thoroughly questioning his bodyguards and others in his entourage.

The suspected assassins are believed to have fled the United Arab Emirates. But two men _ from Iran and Tajikistan _ are accused of being accomplices in the murder of Yamadayev, who was a bitter foe of Chechnya's Moscow-backed president.

Yamadayev's gangland-style slaying in a beachfront parking lot stunned Dubai authorities as the first major political assassination in the Gulf city-state, which has increasingly become a way station for exile leaders and others.

But the slaying has been overshadowed by the January killing of Hamas commander Mahmoud al-Mabhouh by a hit squad that Dubai police say are linked to Israel's Mossad secret service.

One of the defense lawyers, Obeid Ali, told the court that police failed to get full details from Yamadayev's bodyguards and other associates before they left the country.

Other defense lawyers also claimed that police have provided no hard evidence linking the two suspects to the killing. They also contend that the suspects were not offered official translators and any purported confessions were made "under duress."

Police investigators previously testified that they discovered a hand-drawn map showing the murder site. The two suspects were later arrested for helping plot the killing.

They have both pleaded not guilty. The next hearing was set for April 12, when a verdict is possible.

Yamadayev was a former Chechen warlord who switched sides in the conflict and allied with the Russian government in its battled with Chechen rebels. But Yamadayev later fell out of favor with the region's Kremlin-allied president, Ramzan Kadyrov, and sought refuge abroad.

Yamadayev had been living under an alias in a luxury high-rise complex along the Gulf coast.

Other suspects wanted by Dubai authorities in the slaying include Adam Delimkhanov, a Russian parliament deputy and close ally of the Chechen president. Delimkhanov has denied Dubai's allegations that he masterminded the killing.

6 US troops, 12 civilians killed in Afghan attacks

Six American service members and at least a dozen civilians died in attacks Saturday in Afghanistan's volatile east and south, adding to a summer of escalating violence as Taliban militants push back against stepped-up operations by international and Afghan forces.

NATO said four U.S. service members died in the east: One as a result of small-arms fire, another by a roadside bomb, a third during an insurgent attack and the last in an accidental explosion. Two other U.S. troops died in separate roadside bombings in southern Afghanistan. Their deaths raised to 23 the number of American troops killed so far this month in the war.

Also, unknown gunmen killed 11 Pakistani Shia tribesmen in the east and at least one person died when a bomb planted on a motorbike exploded in Kandahar city in the south, officials said.

Explosions also hit two convoys of international troops in different parts of the country, with Germany saying two of its troops were wounded by a roadside bomb in the northern province of Kunduz. Another explosion targeted NATO troops in Khost in the east, but the alliance said there were no casualties.

Afghan and international forces also said a combined commando unit killed a Taliban operative and captured eight others in an overnight raid in Paktia province in the east, though local villagers claimed the men were innocent civilians. In the northern city of Mazar-i-Sharif, thousands of Afghan's staged an anti-U.S. protest over another night raid that killed two security guards.

Insurgent attacks have intensified across the country and the international coalition has been stepping up raids to root out militant leaders as 30,000 more American troops arrive to try to turn around the war and build a stable Afghan government nine years after U.S.-backed forces toppled the Taliban's hard-line Islamist regime.

Last month was the deadliest of the war for the multinational force, with 103 international troops killed, 60 of them Americans.

A remotely detonated motorcycle bomb killed one person Saturday in Kandahar city, the spiritual birthplace of the Taliban, authorities said.

The blast set cars ablaze and shattered windows at a popular shopping center. One man was killed as he drove by in a car just as the bomb exploded, the provincial government said in a statement.

The province is the site of a U.S.-led military operation to strengthen government control.

In the eastern border province of Paktia, unidentified gunmen killed 11 Pakistanis who had crossed into Afghanistan to buy supplies, according to Rohullah Samon, spokesman for the provincial governor.

Samon said 11 Shia minority Muslim tribesmen died and three people, including a child, were wounded in the ambush of their minibus in Chamkani district.

Elsewhere in Paktia, a combined Afghan-coalition commando force raided a compound in Ahmad Abad district overnight, killing one person and arresting nine others, officials said.

The Ministry of Defense said the elite force killed an insurgent operative and captured eight others with weapons. The ninth person arrested was determined to be a civilian and turned over to local authorities, it said in a statement.

Paktia spokesman Samon complained that local authorities were not informed of the raid. He said villagers protested outside government offices Saturday, saying the dead man and those captured were innocent civilians. They promised a larger demonstration the next day if the eight prisoners were not released.

Combined coalition and Afghan forces have been stepping up night raids across the country trying to break up Taliban leadership and operations capability.

In the northern city of Mazar-i-Sharif, more than 1,000 people protested Saturday against the deaths of two security guards in another night raid near a market.

The crowd chanted "Death to America! Long live Islam!" Protesters said the security guards were unjustly killed when combined Afghan and international forces landed by helicopter at the bazaar before dawn Wednesday.

NATO spokesman Col. Wayne Shanks said the two guards were shot when they raised their weapons at the commandos and refused orders to put them down. He said the raid succeeded in capturing a Taliban operative who supplied bomb-making material.

The coalition says the new wave of raids has captured more than 100 senior- and midlevel Taliban figures since April and killed dozens more. But the success rate has not made much of a dent in insurgent attacks.

On Saturday, an explosion tore through a NATO convoy traveling in the eastern province of Khost, though no one was killed. The German army later said two of its soldiers were slightly wounded by a roadside bomb in the northern province of Kunduz _ the second homemade explosive attack on German troops in the area that day.

NATO's International Security Assistance Force has been in Afghanistan since shortly after the fall of the Taliban in 2001, when U.S.-backed forces toppled the regime that sheltered the al-Qaida terrorist leadership following the Sept. 11 attacks in the United States.

___

Associated Press Writer Mirwais Khan in Kandahar contributed to this report.

NOTEWORTHY

Out of sight, out of mind? You'd have to be out of your mind toforget about Elin Nordegren (right), Tiger Woods' recently revealedgirlfriend. Nordegren was among the top gaining queries at Internetsearch engine Google. The leaders for the week ending March 25:

1. Oscars

2. Halle Berry

3. Easter

4. Elin Nordegren

5. Jennifer Connelly

Politics and passion mix as Spain nears momentous Civil War vote

Juliana Sanchez passes a trembling hand in the air above the cracked and crumbling skeletons in the dry earth at her feet, her eyes moist and her voice quavering.

One of these sets of bones _ perhaps this one with tattered leather shoes still attached to its feet, or that skull with bullet damage _ is the father she lost 70 years ago, shot by a firing squad loyal to Gen. Francisco Franco in Spain's cataclysmic 1936-1939 Civil War.

"This one could be him," says Sanchez, gesturing toward a partially unearthed skeleton, its legs pulled up in a near-fetal crouch. "Or this one, or this. The truth is, they are all my father. That is how I feel."

For Sanchez and tens of thousands like her, a law likely to be enacted Tuesday could make finding the remains of victims of Franco easier, and eventually lead to their names being legally cleared.

But the "Law of Historical Memory" has sparked a firestorm of debate, with the conservative opposition saying the country agreed to leave the ghosts of its past buried _ in every sense _ when it undertook a shaky transition to democracy following Franco's death in 1975, and that the bill could tear Spanish society apart.

For Socialist Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero _ whose own grandfather was executed by Franco's forces during the war _ the law is a centerpiece of his first term, and with the help of several smaller parties in parliament, its passage looks all but certain.

It will mandate that local governments fund efforts to unearth mass graves, and pushes them to make their wartime archives more transparent in order to make searching easier. It will also for the first time formally condemn Franco's coup and the nearly 40-year dictatorship that followed, and order the removal of all fascist symbols from the country.

The law will declare the verdicts of wartime summary trials "illegitimate," clearing the way for individuals to seek to have the cases thrown out.

Franco was among rebel generals who rose up against the elected, leftist government of the Spanish Republic, starting the war that cut deep into the fabric of Spanish society, pitting the Catholic Church against the state, the poor against the landed elite, and Franco's fascists against the elected leftists.

While atrocities were committed on all sides during a war that took an estimated 500,000 lives _ and the Law of Historical Memory makes reference to all of those killed _ it is mostly Franco's victims, estimated at tens of thousands, who still lie in unmarked graves, some holding thousands of bodies.

Families on Franco's victorious Nationalist side who lost relatives in the war received preferential treatment, a stipend and proper burial of their loved ones.

The conflict, in which Nazi Germany backed conservative Franco and the Soviet Union backed the leftist Republicans, came to be seen as a dress rehearsal for World War II. So traumatic was the war that even now Spaniards are loath to debate it. Even though the country has been a democracy for three decades, only in recent years have independent groups been looking for unmarked graves such as the one Julia Sanchez came to see.

Conservative former Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar, Zapatero's immediate predecessor, says it is not for the government to "dig up tombs," and accuses Zapatero's party of being "obsessed with revenge."

Angel Acebes, No. 2 in Aznar's Popular Party, says "Zapatero wants to divide Spaniards and turn them against each other." He says the prime minister "wants to remember the worst of our history, the Civil War, and forget the best, which was the transition (to democracy) and the agreements Spaniards made to live in harmony."

The Roman Catholic church, which largely backed Franco during the war, has also weighed in.

Francisco Perez, the archbishop of Pamplona, said the bill was unnecessary because "you can't change history," and urged victims "to look for ways to forget."

On Sunday, the Vatican is to beatify some 500 priests killed by Republican forces. Church officials say the timing, two days before the Spanish vote, is coincidental.

Francisco Espinosa Jimenez, the president of the victims' group that has led the effort to recover more than 4,200 bodies buried in the mass grave in Malaga, is outraged, asking: "How is it that we in Malaga are opening old wounds by doing what we're doing, while the Church is not opening old wounds by doing what it is doing?"

His group aims to remove all the remains at the Malaga grave, placing each in a properly marked box. Identifying the bodies will be difficult, so for now the goal is simply to separate them and give them a proper burial, probably in a monument the group is hoping to build at the site. If funding comes through and technology improves, DNA tests could be done later, though there are no plans for them.

Another grave complex, in Valencia, is thought to hold more than 26,000 bodies.

"We don't want to open old wounds and we don't want a new confrontation in this country," said Espinosa Jimenez. "But it is necessary to find out the truth about what happened to during the Civil War, something we still haven't done in this country. I don't know anybody who is doing this for revenge. All we want is a dignified burial for our fathers and our grandfathers."

Sanchez, the woman whose father is buried in the Malaga mass grave, grows visibly angry when people say it's time to put the Civil War in the past. She says forgetting what happened to her father is not an option.

She spent more than half a century searching for her father's body, finding a record of him through Espinosa Jimenez's organization in 2003. Since archaeologists began excavating the Malaga grave a year ago, the 77-year-old has driven there every week in her battered Peugeot from her home in Madrid _ an 1,100-kilomter (700-mile) roundtrip.

Based on his date of execution, Sanchez knows approximately where in the series of common graves her father would have been buried.

She says she feels as though she has found him, even though he may never be identified.

"I come because I have missed my father since I was a girl, and I will never forget him," said Sanchez. "I have been looking for him for so long, the kilometers are nothing now that I have found him."

Vicente Sanchez was a minor Socialist Party official in the town of Rute when the war began. He fled to the mountains, eventually making it on foot to Malaga, where he set up shop as a barber. After the city fell to Nationalist forces in February 1937, he was spotted and denounced by two right-wing men from his home town.

He was arrested and sentenced to death in a summary trial. Three days later he was stood against the cemetery wall and shot.

For years, all that remained for Sanchez was a letter her father wrote from behind bars just days before his execution, in which he urged his brother to look after his wife and children.

Of his wife, he wrote: "I will never forget her affection, which I carry locked up in my heart ... She is so good and so blessed that the last breaths that leave my soul will be for her."

Philippine economic growth slows to 6.5 pct in 3Q

MANILA, Philippines (AP) — The Philippine economy slowed to growth of 6.5 percent in the third quarter as weakness in agriculture and other industries offset strong consumer spending.

The government said Thursday that the services sector remained the key source of domestic growth while industry failed to sustain its recovery from the first half.

A decline in agriculture because of a dry spell, diminished government spending after the May election and substantial deceleration in the mining and quarrying industries contributed to the slowdown.

Growth was a lot more robust than 0.2 percent the same time the previous year when the economy was grappling with the global recession but significantly slower than the previous quarter's revised expansion of 8.2 percent.

Economic Planning Secretary Cayetano Paderanga told reporters that growth will continue to moderate but he remained optimistic it would exceed the government's target of 5-6 percent for 2010.

He said the Philippines was growing faster than Indonesia, Malaysia and South Korea but trailing China, Singapore, Vietnam, Thailand and Hong Kong.

Finance Secretary Cesar Purisima said officials are hoping that major infrastructure projects to be launched for government and private sector collaboration can be the key to increase growth and to make it more sustainable.

He said officials are working to address three things that held back the economy in the past — corruption, misguided policies and bureaucracy, and the lack of infrastructure.

The economy grew 7.5 percent in the first nine months of the year compared with 0.7 percent in the same period of 2009.

Former Ill. governor faces fight of his life

The day before Rod Blagojevich's world came crashing down, he stood before the TV cameras confident and defiant, as always, declaring he had nothing to hide, even as a giant political scandal was about to engulf him.

"If anybody wants to tape my conversations, go right ahead," said the boyish, helmet-haired governor, looking jaunty in a black leather jacket and turtleneck.

As it turns out, the feds had done just that.

The next morning, FBI agents woke him with a phone call, then led him from his house in handcuffs. And so began a bizarre, 18-month melodrama expected to culminate Thursday in Blagojevich's trial, where he stands accused, among other things, of trying to trade or sell President Barack Obama's vacant Senate seat _ for personal gain.

In the year and a half since his arrest, Rod Blagojevich has lost his job and become a political pariah and a comic punch line. But he's maintained the bravado that defined him as governor with repeated declarations of innocence that are vintage Blago: Confrontational. In the limelight. Never giving an inch.

"There has always been a damn-the-torpedoes aspect to his personality," says State Rep. John Fritchey, a friend-turned-critic.

That's been obvious as the impeached governor has popped up everywhere: Early morning radio, late-night TV. On stage with Second City comic actors lampooning him. At a block party where the avid Elvis fan crooned one of The King's songs.

And most recently, Blagojevich, now 53, was on "The Celebrity Apprentice," where he seemed baffled by a computer, and was, for the second time in a year, fired.

"I think people are intrigued by him, fascinated by him," claims Glenn Selig, his Florida-based publicist.

So is it wise for Blagojevich to be clowning around while facing serious charges?

"I think he has a great sense of humor and he's willing to laugh at himself," Selig says. "Self-deprecation is not necessarily a bad thing. He's the real deal."

Those who've followed Blagojevich's career have another view.

"His ego won't allow him to give up the stage," says Kent Redfield, a professor emeritus of politics at the University of Illinois-Springfield. "He has this supreme confidence in his ability to win people over."

Blagojevich's loose-lipped style has some former associates wondering if the ex-governor's endless patter is designed to show potential jurors he's full of political bluster, not criminal intent.

Blagojevich has his own explanation.

"I ... have this need to tell everyone and anyone who would listen that I didn't do anything wrong and that I am innocent of any criminal wrongdoing ... ," he wrote in "The Governor."

Blagojevich maintains he wasn't trying to sell or trade Obama's Senate seat and was trying to arrange a deal in which he'd appoint Lisa Madigan, the state's attorney general. In exchange, her father, House Speaker Michael Madigan, his nemesis, would push through a public works bill the governor wanted.

Both Madigans say that's news to them.

Blagojevich later appointed Roland Burris, creating a new furor when the newly named senator repeatedly changed his story about his contact with the governor's friends and aides before he was chosen.

Milorad "Rod" Blagojevich has long regarded himself as a fighter for the little people.

He sees his life as an American dream that unraveled into a tragedy of Shakespearean proportions: The son of a Yugoslav-born steelworker, he was raised in a blue-collar family, attended law school and climbed the political ladder, he says, only to fall victim to betrayal and jealousy.

Blagojevich critics, though, see him as another name in the rogue's gallery of politicians who've polluted state government. His predecessor, George Ryan, is now serving a 6 1/2-year racketeering sentence.

Blagojevich's political career began with family connections.

His wife, Patti, is the daughter of Richard Mell, one of a fading breed of Chicago Machine ward bosses who can marshal an army of precinct captains and deliver votes on Election Day.

"He would never have gotten out of the dugout into the batter's box if not for Dick Mell," says Paul Green, a political scientist professor at Roosevelt University.

Mell tapped his son-in-law for the state legislature. Blagojevich served four years before moving to the U.S. House.

In his first gubernatorial bid, Blagojevich showed that beneath that Beatle-bob (circa '65) of hair _ he always had a hairbrush handy _ there was the brain of a shrewd politician with a populist's touch.

"He's personable," Green says. "He speaks well on his feet. He's good-looking. ... And he was able to raise an awful lot of money."

When Blagojevich was elected in 2002, he already was eyeing a bigger prize: the White House.

Democrats were thrilled to have one of their own in the governor's chair for the first time in 26 years. But Blagojevich soon made enemies on both sides of the aisle.

"He enjoyed the sexy part of government, the glad-handing, the attention of followers," says Fritchey, the state lawmaker. "But at a certain point, you've got to get out of campaign mode and into governing. That's where he had difficulty."

Blagojevich immediately angered folks outside Chicago when he refused to move to the governor's mansion in Springfield; he says he didn't want to uproot his two young daughters.

Critics also says he was a fleeting presence in the capital, and when he was around, "his lack of attention to details and his work ethic were mind-boggling," says state Sen. Kirk Dillard, a veteran Republican lawmaker.

Blagojevich claims in his book that he's a "big picture" guy who didn't want to be "slowed down by having to spend my time mired in a bureaucracy that could be like quicksand."

Tensions grew between lawmakers and the governor.

Once he ordered legislators to Springfield to vote on a transportation bill he wanted, then attended a Chicago Blackhawks game 175 miles away. The measure was defeated.

He called lawmakers into special session so often they stopped coming. Then he sued House leader Madigan for not ordering them to attend. He won.

For all his problems, his White House dreams endured until the 2004 Democratic National Convention when Obama was chosen as the keynoter _ a star-making turn launching him on the path to the presidency.

Blagojevich, some recall, repeatedly joked how he was chosen to speak at 3 a.m.

"For a man who fancied himself the next JFK, Obama's pick to give the keynote address was devastating," Fritchey say.

Still, Blagojevich, bolstered by a Democratic majority, racked up a list of accomplishments: He raised the minimum wage (angering some business groups), provided state-subsidized health insurance to every child in Illinois, banned discrimination of gays and lesbians, increased education spending, won approval to expand preschool and increased mammogram and cervical cancer screening for uninsured women.

"He did a lot of good," says Clifford Kelley, a former Chicago alderman who now is a talk show host on a black radio station and has welcomed Blagojevich as a guest. "Once two ladies called to thank him for saving their lives" with mammograms, he says.

By 2006 when he was facing re-election, Blagojevich already was under increasing scrutiny by the feds.

Agents were investigating patronage hiring and reports that money management firms were being squeezed to come up with payoffs and campaign cash if they wanted the lucrative business of investing state teachers pension money.

Blagojevich's relationship with Dick Mell, his father-in-law, also had soured. Mell had made an explosive claim _ later retracted _ that a Blagojevich adviser was arranging state appointments in exchange for campaign cash.

None of it dampened Blagojevich's fundraising.

He spent more than $26 million on his re-election in 2006, and in the fall, his TV ad blitz overwhelmed his Republican opponent, Judy Baar Topinka, then state treasurer.

She now says the state has been damaged by the Blagojevich scandal.

"If you say you're from Illinois, people ... think we're a bunch of doofuses," she says. "How could we have elected someone like that? Not just once _ but twice."

Blagojevich plans to testify at his trial, one more step in his high-profile campaign. Will it succeed?

"I don't know if it's a plan or it's just goofy," Green says. "... If it does work, he's a genius ... and I guarantee you he'll run for office again _ as a victim."

___

Sharon Cohen, a national writer for The Associated Press based in Chicago, can be reached at features(at)ap.org.

Collection for kids' centre

FUNDRAISING takes place in Carmarthen on Saturday in aid of plansfor a children's medical centre in the town.

Trustees of the Carmarthenshire Children's Centre will be inGuildhall Square from 10am with collection boxes and informationabout the project's aims. The centre would be based at the town'sGlangwili Hospital. The two-storey building would be a one-stop shopfor outpatient care of children with conditions such as cysticfibrosis, autism, diabetes and cerebral palsy.

понедельник, 12 марта 2012 г.

SCHOOL LEADERSHIP AND STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT: THE MEDIATING EFFECTS OF TEACHER BELIEFS

Principals are held accountable for student achievement although most studies find that they have no direct effect on it. In this study we tested a model hypothesizing that principals contribute to student achievement indirectly through teacher commitment and beliefs about their collective capacity. Path analysis of data from 205 elementary schools supported this hypothesis. Schools with higher levels of transformational leadership had higher collective teacher efficacy, greater teacher commitment to school mission, school community, and school-community partnerships, and higher student achievement. Increasing the transformational leadership practices in schools makes a small but practically important contribution to overall student achievement.

Key words: teacher efficacy, transformational leadership, path analysis, grade 3 and 6

Les directions d'�coles sont imputables au regard du rendement scolaire sur lequel elles n'ont aucun effet direct d'apr�s la plupart des �tudes. Les auteurs ont test� un mod�le selon lequel la direction d'�cole contribuerait indirectement au rendement scolaire � travers l'implication des enseignants et leurs fa�ons de percevoir leur capacit� collective. L'analyse acheminatoire (path analysis) de donn�es issues de 205 �coles primaires vient �tayer cette hypoth�se. Les �coles pr�sentant un niveau plus �lev� de leadership transformationnel se distinguaient par une plus grande efficacit� du corps enseignant, une implication plus grande des enseignants vis-�-vis de la mission de l'�cole, de l'�quipe-�cole, des partenariats �cole-communaut� et un meilleur rendement scolaire. L'am�lioration d'un �cart-type des m�thodes propres au leadership transformationnel dans les �coles augmenterait le rendement scolaire en lecture, en �criture et en math�matiques en 3e et en 6e ann�es de 0,22 d'un �cart type.

Mots cl�s : efficacit� des enseignants, leadership transformationnel, analyse acheminatoire, 3e et 6e ann�es

Principals, regardless of the student populations they serve, are held accountable for student achievement in their schools. However, research reviews find that the direct effect of principals on student achievement is near zero (Hallinger & Heck, 1996; Leithwood, Jantzi, & Steinbach, 1999; Witziers, Bosker, & Kruger, 2003). Holding principals accountable may be defensible if a principal can be found to have an indirect influence on achievement by creating the organizational conditions through which improved teaching and learning occurs. For example, Hallinger, Bickman, and Davis (1996) found that principals contributed to reading achievement through the creation of a positive instructional climate (high teacher expectations, student opportunity to learn, clear mission, and grouping for instruction).

In the study reported here, we re-analyzed a previously reported database to test several models linking leadership to student achievement. We focused on the mediating effects of teacher professional commitment and collective teacher efficacy, two powerful sets of variables that have not been previously examined as sources of indirect leadership effects on achievement. We began by constructing what we viewed as our most plausible model (displayed in Figure 1) and then developed several variants of it. Figure 1 proposes that principals influence student achievement by creating capacity in the organization in terms of teacher beliefs in their collective agency and in terms of their commitment to the goals of the organization. In a previous analysis of the database (using a split sample design different than the sample split used in the present study), we demonstrated that principals who adopt transformational leadership behaviours contribute to teachers' professional commitment directly and indirectly through collective teacher efficacy (Ross & Gray, 2006). In the current study we extended the model to examine indirect leadership effects on student achievement, using previous research on leadership, social cognition theory, and school improvement to construct the paths that went into the model.

MODEL

The Paths from Leadership to Teacher Commitment

Transformational leadership was chosen for this study because it is compatible with broadly based trends of teacher empowerment, multiple stakeholder participation in school decisions, and reduced support for topdown change theories. In addition, substantial evidence exists that transformational leadership is a stronger predictor of teacher beliefs and practices than transactional leadership (e.g., Koh, Steers, & Terborg, 1995). Although often measured as a global trait, transformational leadership is a multidimensional construct that involves three clusters: charisma (identifying and sustaining a vision of the organization), intellectual stimulation of members, and individual consideration (Bass & Avolio, 1994). Transformational leadership enhances an organization by raising the values of members, motivating them to go beyond self-interest to embrace organizational goals, and redefining their needs to align with organizational preferences.

The model predicts that transformational leadership will influence teachers' professional commitment, defined here as commitment to organizational values. Previous research has found that transformational leadership accounts for 17-18 per cent of the variance in organizational commitment (Koh et al., 1995; Nguni, Sleegers, & Denessen, 2006). Transformational leadership also contributes to a closely related concept, organizational citizenship, which refers to an individual's willingness to go beyond the formal requirements of the job to engage in productive functions to enhance organizational effectiveness (Koh et al., 1995; Leithwood, Tomlinson, & Genge, 1996; Nguni et al., 2006; Podsakoff, MacKenzie, Moorman, & Fetter, 1990 but not in Tschannen-Moran, 2003).

In Figure 1 we represented three dimensions of organizational commitment: commitment to school mission, commitment to professional community (i.e., to school norms of collegiality, collaboration, and joint work), and commitment to community-school partnerships. Figure 1 proposes that transformational leadership will contribute to each.

The Path from Transformational Leadership to Collective Teacher Efficacy

In social cognition theory, beliefs about personal agency form the foundation of action. Self-efficacy is the belief "in one's capabilities to organize and execute the courses of action required to produce given attainments" (Bandura, 1997, p. 2). Self-efficacy affects behavior directly by impacting goals, outcome expectations, affective states, and perceptions of socio-structural impediments and opportunities (Bandura, 2000). Individuals who feel that they will be successful on a given task are more likely to be so because they adopt challenging goals, try harder to achieve them, persist despite setbacks, and develop coping mechanisms for managing their emotional states. Collective teacher efficacy is a specific form of self-efficacy in which the target of the beliefs is the organization to which the individual belongs, i.e., "the perceptions of teachers in a school that the efforts of the faculty as a whole will have a positive effect on students" (Goddard, Hoy, & Hoy, 2000, p. 480).

Transformational leadership might contribute to collective teacher efficacy through each of the four mechanisms identified by Bandura (1986) as sources of efficacy information. The most important is mastery experience, i.e., those who have experienced success, which they attribute to their ability, anticipate similar successes when encountering similar tasks in the future. By setting feasible goals, clarifying standards, and linking actions of teachers to student outcomes, a principal influences teacher self-assessments that contribute to efficacy beliefs. Leadership actions contributing to teacher efficacy include emphasizing accomplishment (Lee, Buck, & Midgely, 1992), giving frequent feedback (Chester & Beaudin, 1996), and promoting an academic emphasis in the school (Hoy & Woolf oik, 1993). Principals also contribute to efficacy beliefs through persuasion (inspirational messages and affirmations of teacher competence by sharing decision making), vicarious experience (providing opportunities for teachers to observe each other's success), and by reducing teacher stress (e.g., insulating teachers from district prescriptions). Capara, Barbaranelli, Borgogni, and Steca (2003) found that transformational leadership predicted collective teacher efficacy.

The Path from Collective Teacher Efficacy to Commitment

The relationships among teacher efficacy and various dimensions of teacher commitment have been amply demonstrated at the individual level (evidence reviewed in Ross, 1998). Fewer studies have examined the path at the collective level. However, Goddard (2002) found that collective teacher efficacy was associated with teacher influence over school decisions, Somech and Drach-Zahavy (2000) found that collective teacher efficacy influenced teachers' willingness to assist each other, and Jex and Bliesse (1999) found that collective efficacy contributed to higher commitment in a military setting.

The Path from Commitment to Achievement

Teachers who are more committed to the values of an organization and to its members are more likely to adopt instructional practices recommended by the organization, assist colleagues, and work harder to achieve organizational goals. Such commitment would contribute to higher student achievement (as found by Koh et al., 1995; Park, 2004) if school goals were focused on academic achievement, a commitment that is not always the case. However, in the study reported below, schools were required by the province to develop explicit improvement goals based on the results of annual provincially mandated assessments.

The Path from SES to Achievement

The influence of SES on student achievement has been amply demonstrated in school effectiveness research (reviewed in Teddlie & Reynolds, 2000). In Canada, the key SES predictor of student achievement is family income (Lytton & Pyrt, 1998; Nagy, Traub, & Moore, 1999; Willms, 2002).

The Path from SES to Collective Teacher Efficacy

The strongest contributor to high teacher efficacy is mastery experience, i.e., when teachers recognize they have been successful in the past they anticipate they will be capable of handling similar tasks in the future. Teachers are more likely to be successful when they teach in schools serving advantaged populations. Goddard, LoGerfo, and Hoy (2004) found that schools with high SES had higher collective teacher efficacy.

OTHER PLAUSIBLE MODELS

Research on the complex interplay of leadership, school process, school context, and student achievement has identified other paths that could be tested with our database. After testing the model in Figure 1, we examined three additional paths.

The Path from Transformational Leadership to Student Achievement

Principals typically have stronger effects on school processes than on student achievement but small, statistically significant contributions to achievement, independent of indirect effects through school processes, have been demonstrated (e.g., Marks & Printy, 2003). We regard such evidence as sufficient to warrant testing of the path but the overall null effects of direct effects models inhibited us from including the direct path from leadership to achievement in our original model.

The Path from Collective Teacher Efficacy to Student Achievement

Previous research has found a direct link between collective teacher efficacy and achievement, after controlling for demographic variables like SES, race, urbanicity, and others (Bandura, 1993; Goddard, 2001; Goddard & Goddard, 2001; Goddard et al., 2000; Goddard, Hoy, & Woolfolk Hoy, 2004; Goddard & LoGerfo, 2004). No study has examined whether the path is significant when teacher commitment variables are included. Because we suspected that the effects of collective teacher efficacy on achievement would be entirely mediated by teacher commitment, we did not include this path in our original model.

The Path from Prior Achievement to Collective Teacher Efficacy

The same argument linking SES to collective teacher efficacy can be extended to prior achievement. Teachers in schools with a record of high student success are likely to feel efficacious. Adams and Forsyth (2004) found that more than half of the variance in collective teacher efficacy could be attributed to prior achievement, after controlling for school contextual factors.

METHOD

We invited all elementary teachers in two Ontario districts to participate. Schools were retained if at least five teacher responses were received (N = 205 schools; 3042 teachers). All schools with grade-3 or grade-6 students met the criterion. The smaller district (N = 71 schools with grade-3 or -6 students) covered a large geographic area (7,000 square kilometres). The proportion of students who were identified as English as second language (2%) and who were born outside of Canada (<1%) was lower than in the province as a whole (10% and 12% respectively). In contrast, 21 per cent of grade-3 and -6 students were identified as special needs, compared to 12 per cent in the province. The district had achievement scores and family incomes that were slightly below the provincial averages. The larger school district (N = 134 schools with grade-3 or -6 students) covered a concentrated geographic area (200 square kilometres). The proportion of students who were ESL or born outside of Canada (both 6%) were higher than in the smaller district but still below the provincial averages. Achievement scores and family incomes were higher than provincial averages.

Instruments

Data consisted of teacher responses to Likert items with a 6-point response scale anchored by strongly disagree and strongly agree. All items were taken from previous studies (Goddard et al., 2000; Leithwood, Aitken, & Jantzi, 2001; Rosenholtz, 1989; Ross & Gray, 2006). Transformational leadership consisted of 12 items measuring teacher perceptions that their principal leads by developing the capacity of the organization and its members to adapt to the demands of a changing environment. Collective teacher efficacy consisted of 14 items developed by Goddard et al. (2000). Teacher commitment to organizational values consisted of three variables: Commitment to school mission consisted of 12 items that measured teachers' acceptance of school goals, their belief that these goals were shared by the staff, and their commitment to reviewing school goals regularly. Commitment to the school as a professional community consisted of 5 items representing teachers' commitment to sharing teaching ideas with each other. Commitment to school-community partnerships consisted of 4 items measuring teacher commitment to including parents in setting school directions. The adequacy of the commitment variables was tested with confirmatory factor analysis (described in Ross & Gray, 2006). The items used in the study are displayed in the Appendix. Teachers completed the survey in February 2001.

Current student achievement consisted of the mean percentage of students in the school who reached the provincial standard in a mandated assessment, administered in May 2001. The test was a performance assessment conducted over five days (180 minutes per day) in which students responded to open ended tasks (over 80% of the assessment) and completed multiple choice items. The provincial testing organization, Education Quality and Accountability Office (EQAO), reported for each school the percentages of students achieving the provincial standard (level 3 on a 4 point scale) in grades 3 and 6 in reading, writing, and mathematics. EQAO includes a set of protected items as indicators of test difficulty; these items are used to calibrate scores to facilitate year to year comparisons (Education Quality and Accountability Office, 2006). Prior student achievement consisted of the mean percentage of students reaching the provincial standard in the previous year (May 2000). We represented student achievement in Figure 1 as the residuals from regressing 2001 scores over 2000 scores. Because school improvement scores are unstable for individual years and subjects (Linn & Haug, 2002), we averaged across grades and subjects to compile a composite school score.1

SES consisted of mean family income of the enumeration area represented by the postal code of the school (obtained from the 1996 national census). Nagy, Traub, and Moore (1999) demonstrated that this proxy for average school family income was comparable and more costeffective than tracking the mean income of individual student postal codes.

Analysis

SES data were prepared by replacing missing values with the mean (N = 8 of 205). Outliers in raw achievement scores and SES scores were recoded to plus or minus two standard deviations. SES was standardized.

Although our survey data were multi-level (teacher and school), student achievement was reported only at the school level, which meant we could not use hierarchical analysis methods. We tested the model in Figure 1 and elaborations of it using path analysis. The raw data were input to SPSS and the variance-covariance matrix was analysed using the maximum likelihood method of AMOS 4.0 (Arbuckle & Wothke, 1999). To guard against capitalizing on chance, we used a cross-validation strategy by randomly assigning schools within districts to create two groups, consisting of 102 and 103 schools respectively.2 We used the first group as the exploration sample to test and refine the model; the second sample was the validation sample in which we replicated the analysis without further model modification. The criteria used for model fit were chi square <.05, AGFI (Adjusted Goodness of Fit) >.90, and RMSEA (Root Mean Square of Approximation) <.08 (Browne & Cudeck, 1993). AGFI was used because it adjusts for sample size (unlike GFI) and RMSEA because it adjusts for number of variables in the model (unlike RMR), following guidelines of Thompson and Daniel (1999).

RESULTS

Table 1 describes the variables. All were reliable (alphas ranged from .85 to .97) and normally distributed (none of the Kolmorogov-Smirnov tests was statistically significant). Table 2 displays the correlation matrix. Student achievement correlated with all variables in the model but one (professional commitment). Leadership also correlated with all but one variable (SES).

Figure 2 displays the results for the base model using the exploration sample. The data were multivariate normal (multivariate kurtosis = .883, CR = .399). Each of the three criteria for goodness of fit was met. (Table 3 displays the goodness of fit statistics for the base model and elaborations of the base model, for the exploration and validation samples.) The path statistics shown in Figure 2 are standardized regression weights. We omitted from Figure 2 the error terms for each of the variables for reasons of clarity. Also omitted is the unanalyzed association of disturbances for two of the teacher commitment variables. The residual (unexplained) variances of commitment to school mission and commitment to the school as a professional community were positively correlated (r = .40), suggesting that a variable not in the model was affecting both variables. All the other residual variances were independent.

Figure 2 provides support for the indirect effects model of principal contributions to student achievement. The figure shows that principals who adopt transformational leadership styles contribute to higher collective teacher efficacy and to teachers' commitment to the school mission, to the school as a professional community, and to involving the external community in setting school directions. The strongest of these paths was from leadership to commitment to mission (.749); the weakest was from leadership to commitment to community partnerships (.120). The predicted paths from collective teacher efficacy to three dimensions of teacher commitment were also confirmed, as was the path from SES to collective teacher efficacy. There was less support for the paths to achievement. The path from teacher community partnerships commitment to student achievement was statistically significant but the paths from other teacher commitment variables were not. The results support the view that principal effects on achievement occur through leadership contributions to teachers' perceptions of their capacities: collective teacher efficacy and teacher commitment to professional values. The indirect effect of leadership on achievement was small: for every 1.0 standard deviation increase in transformational leadership there was a .222 standard deviation increase in student achievement. The model explained only 17 per cent of the variance in school achievement.

We examined three plausible elaborations of our base model. The first was to add a direct path from leadership to achievement to replicate the findings of studies that found direct leadership effects. Table 3 shows that fit statistics were acceptable but the path from leadership to achievement was not statistically significant (standardized regression weight = .113, g.= .502). In the first elaboration of the base model, student achievement effects of leadership continued to be indirect.

In our second elaboration, we added to the base model a path from collective teacher efficacy to achievement. Fit statistics were again acceptable, slightly better than the base model, but none of the paths to achievement, including the path from collective teacher efficacy (standardized regression weight = .270, p = .122), was statistically significant. This result suggests that the effect of collective teacher efficacy on achievement reported in previous studies is mediated by teacher commitment to professional values.3

In our third elaboration, we reconfigured our achievement variable. Instead of representing achievement as the residual from regressing current achievement over prior achievement, we included each variable separately. Achievement in Figure 1 became current achievement (i.e., grade-3 and -6 achievement for 2001). We added two paths: from SES to prior achievement (i.e., grade-3 and -6 achievement for 2000) and from prior achievement (2000) to current achievement (2001). The eight variables in the model were normally distributed (multivariate kurtosis = .365, CR = .146). The fit statistics were adequate on two of the three criteria, falling slightly below (.891) the .90 required for AGFI. The new paths were all statistically significant. The standardized regression weight for the path from SES to prior achievement was .428 (p<.001) and from SES to current achievement was .428 (p<.001). The paths that were statistically significant in the base model continued to be so. The standardized regression weights were virtually identical with two exceptions. Treating prior achievement and current achievement as separate variables increased the strength of the path from SES to collective teacher efficacy (regression weight = .424, (p<.001) and increased the strength of the path from teacher commitment to community partnerships and student achievement. However, the indirect effects of leadership on achievement declined to ES = .166 from .222.

Our final step was to re-examine the fit of the models in the validation sample, as shown in Table 3. We found that all the models fared less well, indicating they had capitalized on chance to some degree. For the base model, the direct effects of leadership on achievement were slightly lower (total regression weight = .165 compared to .222), mainly because the path from leadership to commitment to community partnerships was no longer significant. The path from leadership to commitment to the school as a professional community was stronger, while the path from collective teacher efficacy to professional community was weaker. All other paths in the base model were virtually identical in the validation sample as they were for the exploration sample. The results of the validation sample confirmed that the effects of leadership on student achievement were mediated by collective teacher efficacy and teacher commitment variables.

The validation sample also confirmed the results for the first and second elaborations. Both models met two of the three criteria for good fit but were slightly deficient on the third. As in the exploration sample, the path from leadership to achievement was not significant, nor was the path from collective teacher efficacy to achievement.

The third elaboration of the basic model was not a good fit of the data in the validation sample, failing all three tests. Finally, we re-ran all the analyses separately for each grade (3 and 6) and subject (mathematics, reading and writing). These six analyses (reported in Gray, 2003) produced no new findings.

DISCUSSION

Contribution of the Study

In this study, we found no statistically significant direct effect of leadership on achievement, as expected from previous research. The substantive contribution of our study is that it has demonstrated that teacher beliefs about their capacity and their professional commitment mediated the impact of principals on student achievement. Although previous studies have identified variables that account for the indirect effects of leadership on achievement, none examined the effect of the teacher belief variables that we considered. Our results indicate that principals who adopt a transformational leadership style are likely to have a positive impact on teacher beliefs about their collective capacity and on teacher commitment to organizational values. Principals can expect that these teacher beliefs will make a modest but significant contribution to enhanced student achievement. Increasing the transformational leadership practices in schools by one standard deviation would increase student achievement in grade-3 and -6 reading, writing, and mathematics by .22 standard deviations.

We found that the strongest impact on achievement occurred through teacher commitment to school-community partnerships, confirming recent evidence about positive effects of such linkages in elementary (Taylor & Pearson, 2004) and secondary schools (Jeynes, 2004). Our contribution is the finding that principals' influence on teacher willingness to engage in community partnerships occurred through collective teacher efficacy, rather than through attempts to influence teachers' community commitment directly. We interpret this to mean that teachers who believe that they constitute an effective instructional team are more likely to take responsibility for school outcomes than to attribute school failure to parent influences (an obstacle reported by Bryk and Schneider, 2002) and are less likely to fear pressure from middle class parents (Fullan, 2005).

Our findings strengthen the claim for indirect leadership effects in the review by Hallinger and Heck (1996). Of the 15 "state of the art" studies examining indirect leadership that they reviewed, only one (a) focused on student achievement (as opposed to other dependent measures such as "school effectiveness" and "teacher perceptions of school effectiveness"), (b) used sophisticated analytic tools such as Structural Equation Modeling, and (c) included at least 100 schools. Our study met all three criteria.

Our study avoided many of the problems afflicting leadership research, including common method variance (our model was tested with data from different sources: surveys, mandated student assessments, and national census data), over-reliance on modification indices without theoretical justification, and sample dependent models (i.e., developing and testing a model with the same sample, a problem we avoided by using a split-sample design). Our decision to use residuals rather than separating prior and current achievement may be controversial. However, in our third elaboration of the base model, we entered 2000 and 2001 achievement as separate variables. The result was virtually the same as for our base model, although the total effects of leadership on achievement declined slightly.

The methodological contribution of the study is the demonstration of the need for a cross-validation procedure. The goodness of fit statistics were slightly poorer for all models in the validation sample, indicating there was some capitalization on sample dependent features of the exploration sample database. This was the case, although we used modification indices for only one set of correlated error terms (discussed below).

Implications for Practice

We began this study with the observation that it may be defensible to hold principals accountable for student achievement if it can be demonstrated that principals influence achievement indirectly by creating the organizational conditions through which improved teaching and learning occur. This study provided evidence that principals have such influence through their effect on teacher commitment and collective teacher efficacy. The leadership literature describes specific transformational strategies that enable principals to strengthen teacher commitment. For example, principals who flatten hierarchy and give teachers opportunities to participate in developing school goals and improvement plans obtain higher commitment (Leithwood et al., 1999).

Fewer strategies have been identified for building teacher beliefs in their instructional capacity (i.e., individual and collective teacher efficacy). The most important way in which principals do this is by diagnosing specific instructional needs and arranging for teacher access to suitable professional learning opportunities. Ross and Bruce (in press) suggested that teacher efficacy could also be influenced through teacher selfassessment. Ross and Bruce argued that teachers develop expectations about their future performance by reflecting upon past effectiveness. This private process can be influenced by peers (as demonstrated in Ross and Bruce) and by principals. For example, principals can influence teacher interpretations of their impact on students by defining what constitutes success. Because principals typically have experienced a wider variety of school settings than their teachers and have legitimate authority, principals are well-placed to set feasible goals and interpret achievement data as evidence of success and failure to meet these goals. Principals also identify exemplars of successful team performance and make it easier, for example through timetabling, for teachers to observe each other, thereby providing opportunities to strengthen collective teacher efficacy through vicarious experience. Principals can persuade teachers that they can become an effective organization, for example, through personnel supervision and staff development processes. Equally important is the potential role of the principal in reducing teacher stress. Our study suggests that principals who engage in such strategies are likely to obtain higher student achievement, as well as a staff that is more confident, more ambitious, and more persistent.

Limitations of the Study

First, cross-validation requires a large sample. There is no accepted convention that prescribes the appropriate ratio of cases to variables in SEM. Stevens (1996) suggested that at least 15 cases per measured variable are required. We met this criterion for the original sample (205 cases and 7 variables) and the two splits. Bentler and Chou (1987) recommended at least five cases per parameter estimate (including error terms as well as path coefficients). Our base model had 27 parameter estimates (12 regression weights, one covariance, seven variances, and seven multiple correlations). We met the Bentler and Chou criterion for the total sample (i.e., 7.6 cases per parameter estimate) but not for the splits.

Second, we correlated the residuals of two of the professional commitment variables, suggesting that these variables (commitment to school mission and commitment to the school as a professional community) were influenced by a variable not included in our model. A likely candidate is suggested by Goddard et al. (2004). They argued that the effect of collective teacher efficacy on teacher commitment is mediated by teacher sense of self-efficacy (i.e., individual teacher beliefs that they are able to bring about student learning). Our failure to measure teacher beliefs about their capacity at both the individual and collective levels may explain the correlated error terms. Another potential mediator is teacher beliefs about teaching and learning which Barnett and McCormick (2004) found to be correlated with transformational leadership.

Third, we accounted for a relatively small proportion of the betweenschool variance in achievement (17%). The most likely explanation is that we failed to include a measure of instructional practice.

Directions for Future Research

Our model provides empirical support for holding principals accountable for student achievement in their schools. It also provides a framework based on social cognitive theory that identifies plausible mechanisms for each of the paths in the model and proximate goals for enhancing student achievement, i.e., strengthen teachers' beliefs in their collective capacity and their professional commitment through transformational leadership strategies. The same model might also demonstrate the indirect effects on achievement of principals who adopt an instructional leadership style, i.e., an approach to leadership that focuses on curriculum-specific principal actions such as teacher hiring and assignment, interpretation of curriculum standards, textbook selection, provision of professional development, and supervision of instructional practices. However, teachers' instructional practice would need to be added to the model, most likely as a mediator of the effect of professional commitment on student achievement. For example, previous research (reviewed in Ross, McDougall, & Hogaboam-Gray, 2002) demonstrates that standards-based mathematics teaching (e.g., represented by National Council of Teachers of Mathematics, 2000) makes a greater contribution to student achievement than transmission teaching of algorithms. The model might hypothesize that commitment to mission and to the school as a professional community would contribute to mathematics achievement in schools that had adopted standards-based teaching. The appropriate achievement measure would be a subject-specific instrument rather than the composite scale used in the present study. Testing this instructional leadership version of the model against the transformational leadership version tested in our study would connect the debate about direct and indirect effects of leadership on achievement to the practical issues of what principals should do to enhance achievement in their schools.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

The research reported here was funded by the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council. The views expressed in the article do not necessarily reflect the views of the Council.

[Reference]

REFERENCES

Adams, C. M., & Forsyth, P. B. (2004, April). The effects of proximate sources of efficacy information on collective teacher efficacy. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Educational Research Association, San Diego.

Arbuckle, J. L., & Wothke, W. (1999). Amos 4.0 user's guide. Chicago: SPSS.

Bandura, A. (1986). Social foundations of thought and action: A social cognitive theory. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall.

Bandura, A. (1993). Perceived self-efficacy in cognitive development and functioning. Educational Psychologist, 28(2), 117-148.

Bandura, A. (1997). Self-efficacy: The exercise of control. New York: W. H. Freeman.

Bandura, A. (2000). Exercise of human agency through collective efficacy. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 9(1), 75-78.

Barnett, K., & McCormick, J. (2004). Leadership and individual principal-teacher relationships in schools. Educational Administration Quarterly, 43(3), 406-424.

Bass, B. M., & Avolio, B. J. (Eds.). (1994). Improving organizational effectiveness through transformational leadership. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.

Bentler, P. M., & Chou, C. P. (1987). Practical issues in structural modeling. Sociological Methods and Research, 16(1), 78-117.

Browne, M. W., & Cudeck, R. (1993). Alternative ways of assessing model fit. In K. A. Bollen & J. S. Long (Eds.), Testing structural equation models (pp. 136-162). Newbury Park, CA.: Sage.

Bryk, A. S., & Schneider, B. (2002). Trust in schools: A core resource for improvement. New York: Russell Sage, 2002.

Capara, G. V., Barbaranelli, C., Borgogni, L., & Steca, P. (2003). Efficacy beliefs as determinants of teachers' job satisfaction. Journal of Applied Psychology, 95(4), 821-832.

Chester, M., & Beaudin, B. (1996). Efficacy beliefs of newly hired teachers in urban schools. American Educational Research Journal, 33(1), 233-257.

Education Quality and Accountability Office. (2006) Grade 3 assessment of reading, writing, and mathematics: Framework. Retrieved February 22, 2006 from URLhttp://www.eqao.com/pdf_e/06/06P008e.pdf.

Fullan, M. (2005). Leadership and sustainability. Thousand Oaks, CA: Corwin.

Goddard, R. D. (2001). Collective efficacy: A neglected construct in the study of schools and student achievement. Journal of Educational Psychology, 93(3), 467-476.

Goddard, R. D. (2002). Collective efficacy and school organization: A multilevel analysis of teacher influence in schools. Theory and Research in Educational Administration, 1,169-184.

Goddard, R. D., & Goddard, Y. L. (2001). A multilevel analysis of the relationship between teacher and collective efficacy in urban schools. Teaching and Teacher Education, 17(7), 807-818.

Goddard, R. D., Hoy, W. K., & Hoy, A. W. (2000). Collective teacher efficacy: Its meaning, measure, and impact on student achievement. American Education Research Journal, 37(2), 479-507.

Goddard, R. D., Hoy, W. K., & Woolfolk Hoy, A. (2004). Collective efficacy beliefs: Theoretical developments, empirical evidence, and future directions. Educational Researcher, 33(3), 3-13.

Goddard, R. D., & LoGerfo, L. F. (2004, April). Measuring emergent organizational properties: A structural equation modeling test of self- vs. group-referent perceptions. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Educational Research Association, San Diego.

Goddard, R. D., LoGerfo, L., & Hoy, W. K. (2004). High school accountability: The role of perceived collective teacher efficacy. Educational Policy, 18(3), 403-425.

Gray, P. (2003, August) Teacher professional commitment and student achievement. Unpublished Qualifying Research Paper. Toronto: University of Toronto.

Hallinger, P., Bickman, L., & Davis, K. (1996). School context, principal leadership, and student reading achievement. Elementary School Journal, 96(5), 527-549.

Hallinger, P., & Heck, R. H. (1996). Reassessing the principal's role in school effectiveness: A review of empirical research, 1980-1995. Educational Administration Quarterly, 32(1), 5-44.

Hoy, W. K., & Woolfolk, A. E. (1993). Teachers' sense of efficacy and the organizational health of schools. Elementary School Journal, 93(4), 355372.

Jex, S., & Bliesse, P. D. (1999). Efficacy beliefs as a moderator of the impact of work-related stressors: A multilevel study. Journal of Applied Psychology, 84(3), 349-361.

Jeynes, W. H. (2004). Parental involvement and secondary school student educational outcomes: A meta-analysis. The Evaluation Exchange, 10(4), 6.

Koh, W. L., Steers, R. M., & Terborg, J. R. (1995). The effects of transformational leadership on teacher attitudes and student performance in Singapore. Journal of Organizational Behavior, 16(4), 319-333.

Lee, M., Buck, R., & Midgley, C. (1992, April). The organizational context of personal teaching efficacy. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Educational Research Association, San Francisco, CA.

Leithwood, K. A., Aitken, R., & Jantzi, D. (2001). Making schools smarter: A system for monitoring school and district progress. Thousand Oaks, CA: Corwin Press.

Leithwood, K. A., Jantzi, D., & Steinbach, R. (1999). Changing leadership for changing times. Buckingham, UK: Open University Press.

Leithwood, K. A., Tomlinson, D., & Genge, M. (1996). Transformational school leadership. In K. Leithwood (Ed.), International handbook on educational leadership (pp. 785-840). Dordrecht, NL: Kluwer Press.

Linn, R. L., & Haug, C. (2002). Stability of school-building accountability scores and gains. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 24(1), 29-36.

Lytton, H., & Pyryt, M. (1998). Predictors of achievement in basic skills: A Canadian effective schools study. Canadian Journal of Education, 23(3), 281-301.

Marks, H. M., & Printy, S. M. (2003). Principal leadership and school performance: An integration of transformational and instructional leadership. Educational Administration Quarterly, 39(3), 370-397.

Nagy, P., Traub, R. E., & Moore, S. (1999). A comparison of methods for portraying school demography using census data. Alberta Journal of Educational Research, 45(1), 35-51.

National Council of Teachers of Mathematics. (2000). Principles and standards for school mathematics. Reston, VA: National Council of Teachers of Mathematics.

Nguni, S., Sleegers, P., & Denessen, E. (2006). Transformational leadership effects on teachers' job satisfaction, organizational commitment and organizational citizenship behavior in primary schools: The Tanzanian case. School Effectiveness and School Improvement, 17(2), 145-177.

Park, I. (2004, April). Teacher commitment and its effects on student achievement. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Educational Research Association, San Diego.

Podsakoff, P., MacKenzie, S., Moorman, R., & Fetter, R. (1990). Transformational leaders' behaviors and their effects on followers' trust in leader, satisfaction, and organizational citizenship behaviors. Leadership Quarterly, 1(2), 107-142.

Rosenholtz, S. J. (1989). Teachers' workplace: The social organization of schools. New York: Longman.

Ross, J. A. (1998). The antecedents and consequences of teacher efficacy. In J. Brophy (Ed.), Research on Teaching Vol. 7. (pp. 49-74). Greenwich, CT: JAI Press.

Ross, J. A., & Bruce, C. (in press) Self-assessment and professional growth: The case of a grade 8 mathematics teacher. Teaching and Teacher Education.

Ross, J. A., & Gray, P. (2006). Transformational leadership and teacher commitment to organizational values: The mediating effects of collective teacher efficacy. School Effectiveness and School Improvement, 17(2), 179-199.

Ross, J. A., McDougall, D., & Hogaboam-Gray, A. (2002). Research on reform in mathematics education, 1993-2000. Alberta Journal of Educational Research, 48(2), 122-138.

Somech, A., & Drach-Zahavy, A. (2000). Understanding extra-role behavior in schools: The relationships between job satisfaction, sense of efficacy, and teachers' extra-role behavior. Teaching and Teacher Education, 16(5-6), 649-659.

Stevens, J. (1996). Applied multivariate statistics for the social sciences (3rd ed). New Jersey: Lawrence Erlbaum.

Taylor, B. M., & Pearson, P. D. (2004). Research on learning to read - at school, at home, and in the community. Elementary School Journal, 105(2), 167-182.

Teddlie, C., & Reynolds, D. (Eds). (2000). The international handbook of school effectiveness research. London, UK: Palmer Press.

Thompson, B., & Daniel, L. G. (1999). Factor analytic evidence for construct validity of scores: A historical overview and some guidelines. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 56(2), 197-208.

Tschannen-Moran, M. (2003). Fostering organizational citizenship: Transformational leadership and trust. In W. K. Hoy & C. G. Miskel (Eds.), Studies in leading and organizing schools (pp. 157-179). Greenwich, CT: Information Age Publishing.

Willms, J. D. (2002). Socioeconomic gradients for childhood vulnerability. In J. D. Willms (Ed.), Vulnerable children: Findings from Canada's National Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth (pp. 71-102). Edmonton: University of Alberta Press.

Witziers, B., Bosker, R. J., & Kruger, M. L. (2003). Educational leadership and student achievement: The elusive search for an association. Educational Administration Quarterly, 39(3), 398-425.

[Author Affiliation]

Peter Gray is a doctoral candidate at the Ontario Institute for Studies of Education at the University of Toronto. His research interests include quantitative data analysis, mathematics achievement, and student affect.

John A. Ross is a professor in the Department of Curriculum, Teaching, and Learning at the Ontario Institute for Studies of Education of the University of Toronto and head of the Institute's field centre in Peterborough, Ontario. His research interests are school change, mathematics education, student assessment, and program evaluation.